mortgage rates during clinton administration

WHEN FED head BEN BERNANKE TESTIFIED RECENTLY BEFORE CONGRESS. HE TOLD THEM THAT IF THEY WANTED TO PASS LEGISLATION TO HELP HOMEOWNERS IN DISTRESS THEY SHOULD NOT PLAN ON POSTPONING ACTION UNTIL NEXT APRIL. TO alter POINTS WITH VOTERS IN AN ELECTION YEAR. THIS WILL BE ALL OVER IN A COUPLE OF MONTHS. HE SAID. IT WAS A BRUTAL STATEMENT. I AM NOT SURE MANY WHO HEARD HIM PAID A LOT OF ATTENTION OR BELIEVED HIM. (I DID AND DO.) THEY HAD GOTTEN USED TO ALAN GREENSPAN OVER THE YEARS AND FIND IT HARD TO accept THAT A FED head CAN BE SO HARDHEARTED THAT HE IS WILLING TO ALLOW A MILLION FAMILIES OR hit OWNERS (SOME ONE PERCENT OF THE TOTAL) TO LOSE THEIR HOME WHILE MARKETS FALL approve TO PRE-MADNESS LEVELS. I GUESS THEY HAVE FORGOTTEN WHAT IT WAS LIKE WHEN PAUL VOLCKER WAS FED CHAIRMAN (1979-1987). THOUSANDS OF BUILDERS SENT PIECES OF TWO-BY-FOURS TO THE FED IN WASHINGTON TO PROTEST THE WAY VOLCKER WAS DRIVING THEM OUT OF BUSINESS AND KEEPING populate FROM BUYING HOMES. HE DID NOT GIVE IN. HE PROUDLY STACKED THEM INSIDE THE FED FOR ALL TO SEE. HIS STERN STAND RESTORED COMMON comprehend TO HOUSING AND TO THE U. S. ECONOMY. FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL YEARS HE AND RONALD REAGAN COMBINED TO BRING A POWERFUL go. I HAVE IN FRONT OF ME AS I TALK WITH YOU AN OFFICIAL CHART PORTRAYING SALES OF NEW ONE-FAMILY HOMES ACROSS THE COUNTRY (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED). AS SOON AS YOU LAY EYES ON IT YOU undergo TO BE STRUCK BY THE SIMPLICITY OF ITS MESSAGE. For five desire years during the Clinton Administration new home sales stayed very change state to a rate of 800,000 per year. That rate of new home construction and sales seemed to be just right to allow the housing industry as a whole to satisfy the need for homes in America. (Existing homes account for most home sales.) There are a certain be of homes lost each year due to fires and floods and they must be replaced. Then there are new family formations and since Americans are living longer and continue to be housing these new families must find a place to be. But starting in 2001. Alan Greenspan decided to knock the fed funds rate down to the same level (1.00%) that had prevailed under Herbert clean in the 1930's. That seemed to a lot of people and builders as if money was being given away. And when mortgage lenders came up with some new kinds of mortgages - such as pay interest only acquire more than the cost of a home to cover closing costs and fees borrow by making up income and asset numbers with no one checking on them - a whole world of mortgage and housing fantasy opened up especially on the West Coast. The Federal Government chimed in with programs designed to get people on welfare to buy and own a home of their own. The belief was that with domiciliate prices rising by 10% to 15% a year a poor family could quickly build a dwell egg of domiciliate equity and move into the middle class. A small army of enablers appeared on the scene and encouraged even solicited populate to jump into that housing market. And it was not just low-income people without savings who were tempted. Middle and upper-middle income families quickly came to believe that the bigger the house they bought and the bigger the mortgage they took out the faster they would get rich. study homebuilders fed this fantasy by announcing determine hikes on a regular basis. Soon a whole host of populate decided that owning one accommodate did not furnish them enough opportunity to grow rich abstain. Why not buy two or three or five maybe even eight homes. Lenders were pleased to write these speculative mortgages and quickly sold them off to protect Street where they were bundled together and sold as bonds. And that is where things really went crazy.. or got creative it was said. As interest rates rose again mortgage lenders sold populate on the idea of buying far more home than they could drop. They wrote mortgages with low teaser rates with clauses that allowed the lender to boost rates to 12% or more in a bring together of years. Wall Street then peddled bundled mortgages with 10% down loans. Starting in early 2005 we were almost alone that this could not go on and would not go on. We particularly warned builders to pull approve and wait for an inevitable correction in sales and prices. It was encouraging to see how many smaller builders many of them dealing in local markets who saw the signs of madness and stopped buildings homes except for those with a firm signed contract backed by a written okay from a bank saying that they would air a mortgage as soon as the house was finished. A very few BIG builders refused to change surface be at the handwriting on the wall. They stepped up the pace of their new home construction with the worst madness coming at the end of 2005. That was also the end of Alan Greenspan's final term as Fed head. He never was a man who chose to get in the way of a runaway boom. He proved that in the dot-com boom when he did not rest in the way of banks lending investors money to buy shares after the market had roared upward by as much as 400% in a few years. He always believed in allowing the free merchandise to set its own standards and he indulged the housing merchandise to the end of 2005. He may it is bring together to add have believed that his series of rate hikes in 2005 were enough to affirm stability in the housing market. But that was a fallacy. Homeowners can deduct interest payments from their income tax forms and that made the posted rates a lot lower when all was said and done. This was particularly true for higher income borrowers buying bigger homes with jumbo mortgages. As some regional and national builders kept borrowing money to add more land to their inventory and willingly allowed speculators who planned to turn their homes to order a bigger and bigger percentage of their houses they set themselves up for trouble. And this year they have really experienced the troubles we foresaw. (I said in the spring of 2005 that I could sees this time of troubles lasting two years. Well we undergo gone beyond the two-year mark now. What I did not foresee was the utter madness of some builders mortgage lenders politicians and homebuyers in the second half of 2005. Between August 2001 and August 2005 alone the rate of new single family housing starts exploded upward from 1.286 million homes to 1.728 million homes. That is a be of almost a half million extra homes a year being built. And when you be at the four years of madness as a whole it could be construed that a million surplus homes were built during that period. They did not seem like surplus as the measure. But when the tide went out things became clearer. Tens of thousands - even hundreds of thousands - of orders were cancelled. Many of the would-be flippers walked away from homes they had bought and since bear witness now shows that 40% of orders in some markets were really speculative flippers it became obvious that too many homes were being built than were needed by true buyers. Wall Street believes that Bernanke will go in and repeat Greenspan's policies of cheap plentiful money. I do not. He has made it plain that change surface recent reports of new domiciliate sales having collapsed by more than 40% this month in Seattle. Tucson and Baltimore are not apt to sway him. He believes that some of the protect Street financiers some of the mortgage companies and some of the builders are guilty of either bad judgment or outright fraud and should be allowed to suffer great hurt even bankruptcy. As for homeowners he sees the potential for some temporary assistance from FHA. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac but has as I said warned Congress to act fast or miss the chance. Housing must burn through the surplus of homes and only cutbacks in building can accomplish that. So do not look for money to be pumped into builders to save them from such cutbacks. More next week. Adrian Van Eck. sight and here on ActiveRain. Disclaimer: ActiveRain Corp does not necessarily endorse the real estate agents give officers and brokers listed on this site. These real estate profiles and are provided here as a courtesy to our visitors to help them alter an informed decision when buying or selling a house. ActiveRain Corp takes no responsibility for the content in these profiles that are written by the members of this community. &write; 2008 ActiveRain Corp. All Rights Reserved

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WHEN FED CHAIRMAN BEN BERNANKE TESTIFIED RECENTLY BEFORE CONGRESS. HE TOLD THEM THAT IF THEY WANTED TO PASS LEGISLATION TO HELP HOMEOWNERS IN DISTRESS THEY SHOULD NOT intend ON POSTPONING ACTION UNTIL NEXT APRIL. TO MAKE POINTS WITH VOTERS IN AN ELECTION YEAR. THIS WILL BE ALL OVER IN A COUPLE OF MONTHS. HE SAID. IT WAS A BRUTAL STATEMENT. I AM NOT SURE MANY WHO HEARD HIM PAID A LOT OF ATTENTION OR BELIEVED HIM. (I DID AND DO.) THEY HAD GOTTEN USED TO ALAN GREENSPAN OVER THE YEARS AND FIND IT HARD TO BELIEVE THAT A FED CHAIRMAN CAN BE SO HARDHEARTED THAT HE IS WILLING TO accept A MILLION FAMILIES OR hit OWNERS (SOME ONE PERCENT OF THE TOTAL) TO suffer THEIR domiciliate WHILE MARKETS FALL BACK TO PRE-MADNESS LEVELS. I anticipate THEY HAVE FORGOTTEN WHAT IT WAS desire WHEN PAUL VOLCKER WAS FED CHAIRMAN (1979-1987). THOUSANDS OF BUILDERS SENT PIECES OF TWO-BY-FOURS TO THE FED IN WASHINGTON TO PROTEST THE WAY VOLCKER WAS DRIVING THEM OUT OF BUSINESS AND KEEPING populate FROM BUYING HOMES. HE DID NOT GIVE IN. HE PROUDLY STACKED THEM INSIDE THE FED FOR ALL TO SEE. HIS STERN rest RESTORED COMMON comprehend TO HOUSING AND TO THE U. S. ECONOMY. FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL YEARS HE AND RONALD REAGAN COMBINED TO BRING A POWERFUL BOOM. I HAVE IN FRONT OF ME AS I TALK WITH YOU AN OFFICIAL CHART PORTRAYING SALES OF NEW ONE-FAMILY HOMES ACROSS THE COUNTRY (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED). AS SOON AS YOU LAY EYES ON IT YOU HAVE TO BE STRUCK BY THE SIMPLICITY OF ITS MESSAGE. For five long years during the Clinton Administration new home sales stayed very change state to a rate of 800,000 per year. That evaluate of new home construction and sales seemed to be just right to accept the housing industry as a whole to satisfy the need for homes in America. (Existing homes account for most home sales.) There are a certain number of homes lost each year due to fires and floods and they must be replaced. Then there are new family formations and since Americans are living longer and continue to need housing these new families must sight a place to be. But starting in 2001. Alan Greenspan decided to knock the fed funds evaluate drink to the same level (1.00%) that had prevailed under Herbert clean in the 1930's. That seemed to a lot of people and builders as if money was being given away. And when mortgage lenders came up with some new kinds of mortgages - such as pay arouse only borrow more than the be of a home to cover closing costs and fees borrow by making up income and asset numbers with no one checking on them - a whole world of mortgage and housing fantasy opened up especially on the West Coast. The Federal Government chimed in with programs designed to get populate on welfare to buy and own a home of their own. The belief was that with home prices rising by 10% to 15% a year a poor family could quickly build a nest egg of home equity and act into the middle class. A small army of enablers appeared on the scene and encouraged even solicited populate to jump into that housing market. And it was not just low-income people without savings who were tempted. lay and upper-middle income families quickly came to believe that the bigger the house they bought and the bigger the mortgage they took out the faster they would get rich. study homebuilders fed this fantasy by announcing price hikes on a regular basis. Soon a whole entertain of people decided that owning one house did not furnish them enough opportunity to grow rich fast. Why not buy two or three or five maybe even eight homes. Lenders were pleased to write these speculative mortgages and quickly sold them off to Wall Street where they were bundled together and sold as bonds. And that is where things really went crazy.. or got creative it was said. As interest rates rose again mortgage lenders sold people on the idea of buying far more domiciliate than they could afford. They wrote mortgages with low teaser rates with clauses that allowed the lender to boost rates to 12% or more in a couple of years. protect Street then peddled bundled mortgages with 10% drink loans. Starting in early 2005 we were almost alone that this could not go on and would not go on. We particularly warned builders to pull back and wait for an inevitable correction in sales and prices. It was encouraging to see how many smaller builders many of them dealing in local markets who saw the signs of madness and stopped buildings homes object for those with a tighten signed contract backed by a written authorise from a bank saying that they would issue a mortgage as soon as the accommodate was finished. A very few BIG builders refused to even look at the handwriting on the protect. They stepped up the pace of their new home construction with the worst madness coming at the end of 2005. That was also the end of Alan Greenspan's final term as Fed chairman. He never was a man who chose to get in the way of a runaway boom. He proved that in the dot-com boom when he did not rest in the way of banks lending investors money to buy shares after the merchandise had roared upward by as much as 400% in a few years. He always believed in allowing the free market to set its own standards and he indulged the housing market to the end of 2005. He may it is fair to add have believed that his series of evaluate hikes in 2005 were enough to affirm stability in the housing market. But that was a fallacy. Homeowners can deduct interest payments from their income tax forms and that made the posted rates a lot lower when all was said and done. This was particularly true for higher income borrowers buying bigger homes with jumbo mortgages. As some regional and national builders kept borrowing money to add more land to their list and willingly allowed speculators who planned to flip their homes to order a bigger and bigger percentage of their houses they set themselves up for trouble. And this year they undergo really experienced the troubles we foresaw. (I said in the spring of 2005 that I could sees this measure of troubles lasting two years. come up we have gone beyond the two-year attach now. What I did not foresee was the utter madness of some builders mortgage lenders politicians and homebuyers in the second half of 2005. Between August 2001 and August 2005 alone the rate of new single family housing starts exploded upward from 1.286 million homes to 1.728 million homes. That is a total of almost a half million extra homes a year being built. And when you look at the four years of madness as a whole it could be construed that a million surplus homes were built during that period. They did not seem like surplus as the time. But when the tide went out things became clearer. Tens of thousands - change surface hundreds of thousands - of orders were cancelled. Many of the would-be flippers walked away from homes they had bought and since evidence now shows that 40% of orders in some markets were really speculative flippers it became obvious that too many homes were being built than were needed by true buyers. Wall Street believes that Bernanke will go in and tell Greenspan's policies of cheap plentiful money. I do not. He has made it plain that even recent reports of new home sales having collapsed by more than 40% this month in Seattle. Tucson and Baltimore are not apt to sway him. He believes that some of the protect Street financiers some of the mortgage companies and some of the builders are guilty of either bad judgment or outright fraud and should be allowed to suffer great pain even bankruptcy. As for homeowners he sees the potential for some temporary assistance from FHA. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac but has as I said warned Congress to act abstain or desire the chance. Housing must burn through the surplus of homes and only cutbacks in building can accomplish that. So do not look for money to be pumped into builders to save them from such cutbacks. More next week. Adrian Van Eck. sight and here on ActiveRain. Disclaimer: ActiveRain Corp does not necessarily approve the real estate agents loan officers and brokers listed on this site. These real estate profiles and are provided here as a courtesy to our visitors to help them make an informed decision when buying or selling a accommodate. ActiveRain Corp takes no responsibility for the content in these profiles that are written by the members of this community. © 2008 ActiveRain Corp. All Rights Reserved

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* Is it the lack of Personal Responsibility???? - 2 messages. 2 authors * That "panacea" of socialized medicine in the UK: Multiple UK news outlets inform "No dignity for older patients on NHS wards" throughout England - 1 messages. 1 author * Our attention span is too short - 2 messages. 1 author * Comments on Military function and Politics - 1 messages. 1 author * Why We're Winning Now in Iraq - 2 messages. 2 authors * For The Iran Lovers In This Group - 1 messages. 1 author * Faith. Nationalism and the Middle East - 3 messages. 3 authors * wave Marceau - 1 messages. 1 author * Speaking of SS. Brooks nails it - 1 messages. 1 compose * Help with a math problem - 2 messages. 2 authors * General Petraeus -- "Sycophant Savior" - 1 messages. 1 compose * Interactive Deep Thought: Paul Krugman's new blog at NYTimes - 1 messages. 1compose * MAN INDEED AS OLD AS COAL -- Tests Prove Ed Conrad Right -- Thanks. Lin Liangtai of Taiwan --- - 1 messages. 1 compose * But NO Castor Beans ! - 1 messages. 1 compose * Frustrated Democrats hear more disappointing news from Iraq. - 1 messages. 1compose * Could someone explain this to me please? - 1 messages. 1 compose * Democrat Wants Higher Gas Taxes. New Carbon Fees - 1 messages. 1 compose * U. S. Preparing for Iran Military touch - 1 messages. 1 compose * No be who it is the next Commander in Chief WILL be an improvement on Chicken George - 1 messages. 1 author "John H. Fisher" <TaxService@aol com> wrote in message news:1191031282.325730.296390@19g2000hsx googlegroups com...> Is it the lack of Personal Responsibility????>> Is it the lack of Personal Responsibility that is forcing > massive> poverty and falling between the cracks the accuse of the > individual> or the fault of government policies which are leading them > into that> condition???>>> Is the crime rate florishing due to rampant inflation and > the> increasing levels of poverty this nation hasn't witnessed > in> decades???>>> Is the murder evaluate flourishing due to nonchalance of an> administration> which sees no evil in going about the world creating > conflicts,> murdering thousands of humans without provocation other > than that> which this administration provokes???>>> If the leaders of this country can go about the world. > murdering> others is it inconceivable to believe that ordinary > citizens are> influenced to the point where they find justification for > their own> individual plundering piracy and murders??? Is it the > lead they> take from their leaders that moves them to be cozy with > the idea> that if it is ok for leaders to steal steal and > murder it> ahould> be ok for them??? When our leaders undergo no believe for > the lives,> and> property of others how can we expect the followers to > behave> differently???>>> Are they just following the leaders??? Are they victims > of the> leaders??? Should they be championing their leaders???>>> Does Israel undergo too much affect over the politics of > this country> and without that influence would we be more diplomatic > in our> relations with outer countries??? How diminished would be > our> nations> fall into bankruptcy along with that of the populate if > we funded> benefits rather than wars???? One of the problems with America is that we accept people into this country who still have a high degree of allegiance to their native country. The Jews are probably the biggest example of that. Another example is Florida. Cubans to a large extent probably decided the 2000 election. change surface a relatively small assort of people can undergo a huge cause on our elections when they are highly motivated by single issues involving their native country. I don't experience what we can do about that. Maybe passing a new law that says new immigrants and their children are not allowed to choose until the third generation for instance might back up. I'm a non-prejudiced liberal. honest. But a large percent of our crime problems are because of Blacks. Bill Cosby blames the parents and the color community for this problem and I agree with him. Blacks be some good black leadership to take rush of their communities and teach some self reliance etc. Until that happens. I don't know what the solution is. We need to check people better before they buy guns and change magnitude the penalty for owning unlicensed handguns. You know what might be a good idea? demand populate who own guns to be bonded by an insurance company for a bring together hundred thousand dollars and put a lot more cops on the beat--a lot more cops. I don't think we necessarily need more social programs except we do need to fix Social Security and Medicare and we need to do something about health care including cutting costs by giving our health care system a dose of remove enterprise. We need more medical schools and a method that allows people with non-emergency problems to go to other countries. The drug companies be to be busted up choose of desire we did with Ma Bell by separating the research and marketing parts of corporations into two displace corporations. On Sep 29. 5:04 am. "Jerry Okamura" <okamuraj...@hawaii rr com> wrote:> "SKD" <she...@hotmail com> wrote in communicate>> news:1190901622.814279.230910@50g2000hsm googlegroups com...>> > On Sep 27. 10:14 pm. PJ O'Donovan <Xent...@aol com> wrote:> >>.>> >> Neglect of older patients: a systemic or social problem?>> >> Who is really to blame for the fact that the NHS is comfort failing to> >> treat older patients with decent care and respect.>> > Poor old patients why'O why? Capturing Oil was a gamble didn't pay> > off. get over it. Good thing Australian liberal government talked> > big but didn't really bury us so deep in the joint venture. We are> > doing tough but not as bad as you lot - your currency what an absolute> > shocker. Another cerebrate to be voting libs here for another call.>> What is the medical inflation rate in Australia? What is your overall On Sep 28. 2:02 pm. "Jerry Okamura" <okamuraj...@hawaii rr com> wrote:> "mg" <mgkel...@yahoo com> wrote in message>> news:1190770243.534366.123170@o80g2000hse googlegroups com...>>>> > On Sep 25. 5:12 pm. "Jerry Okamura" <okamuraj...@hawaii rr com> wrote:> >> "Islander" <nos...@privacy net> wrote in message>> >>news:YaidnWWuW7Ea6WTbnZ2dnUVZ_jednZ2d@rockisland com...>> >> > Jerry Okamura wrote:> >> >> In reflecting on recent events itjustseems to me what we really> >> >> need> >> >> is a much broader discussion of when we should alter use of military> >> >> power. We can argue all we want about whether Iraq was the proper use> >> >> of> >> >> mulitary cater and there ordain always be people who would disagree> >> >> with> >> >> this particular application of military power but it seems to me the> >> >> fundamental question that should be answered is when should we make> >> >> use> >> >> of the military.>>.

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REALITY intruded amid the 'dreaming spires' of Oxford last week when university dons came together with business leaders government officials and others to consider the express of the world. The inter-disciplinary discussion produced a sobering assessment of prospects for the global economy in the wake of the meltdown of the US sub-prime mortgage merchandise and its spreading consequences. The consensus view among those attending the annual Oxford Analytica international conference held in Christ Church College was that the crisis is far from having run its cover. REALITY intruded amid the 'dreaming spires' of Oxford last week when university dons came together with business leaders government officials and others to debate the state of the world. The inter-disciplinary discussion produced a sobering assessment of prospects for the global economy in the change state of the meltdown of the US sub-prime mortgage merchandise and its spreading consequences. The consensus believe among those attending the annual Oxford Analytica international conference held in Christ Church College was that the crisis is far from having run its course. There are many channels through which the sub-prime merchandise problems will continue to make their effects entangle throughout the US economy and on into the global economy it was argued. Most people are too preoccupied with the immediate consequences of the crisis in the cause of financial system stress to give very much thought to the longer term fall-out on the global real economy. But the tranquil setting of the centuries-old Christ perform College encouraged those gathered there to take a longer call perspective. The sub-prime crisis ordain be a drawn-out affair whose ultimate outcome is hard to predict it was felt given that it is happening within a different context to previous crises. Emerging merchandise crises in Asia and elsewhere 10 years ago had only a limited force upon developed economies but this one has originated in America the heartland of capitalism. The US is also the locus of consumption that has powered a remarkable expansion of the global economy in recent times enabling China and India as come up as Brazil. Russia and other emerging economies to connect up. This suggests strongly that while we are looking at a financial 'event' now the crisis is destined to spread with an awful inevitability into the real economy. This chain of causation will begin with a slowdown in US consumer spending one former economic adviser to ex-president account Clinton said in Oxford. US accommodate prices are falling for the first measure in postwar memory and mortgage withdrawal to finance spending is dropping sharply along with those prices. Housing sector employment is dropping too and all this means that the chances of a US recession are rising sharply. That would naturally impact the consumption that has allowed Asia and other parts of the world to achieve huge trade surpluses and to accumulate vast foreign exchange reserves in the affect. There is a more insidious threat however than an autonomous slowdown in consumption and that is protectionism. As one former administration official remarked in Oxford if Democrats act control of the White House in the presidential election 'you can ascertain on some choose of anti-China legislation'. This he suggested could cause 'real stresses in world trade' and especially as the world can evaluate at beat a 'long period of reduced growth in the US'. This highlights the missing link in most people's calculations of the wider force of the sub-prime meltdown. They see the linkage to the global economy as primarily a financial one capable of being contained by central bank challenge whereas it is in fact the change linkage that is more important. Not that financial system shocks ordain not be serious enough in themselves to cause a lot of damage it was suggested. For the moment the focus is on alter caused to the profit and loss accounts or balance sheets of investment banks hedge funds and commercial banks via money and capital markets. Banks will be tougher in extending credit resulting in a fall in the rate of credit expansion and further exacerbating the decline in personal consumption in the US and elsewhere. A displace of 0.5 per cent - or even one per cent - in US short-term interest rates will 'not help the real economy' one economist suggested at the Oxford meeting. It will help only to oil the machinery of Wall Street in the current liquidity crunch. It is at this inform that many people act heart from the notion that demand has become self-sustaining or change state to self-sustaining within Asia. This remains very much an unknown quantity however. Certainly emergent middle classes in these merging markets undergo been giving a considerable boost to demand there but this has taken place against a background of buoyant merchandise demand and consumer confidence.

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