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"Fortune Foresees PDX Housing Drop" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-10-18 06:18:48

Based on the between home prices and rental rates the magazine forecasts a 19 percent drop in home prices here over the next five years. The theory is that people won't pay too much more per month on a mortgage than they would on rent. Though rising prices have outpaced rents in recent years. "sooner or later the relationship is bound to return to its historical average." It's inevitable. One way or another. Adam Smith's 'Invisible Hand" will slap you silly. 's revelations aren't great shockers. Remember all those headlines about the real estate bubble? The headlines that led to mildly amusing parody advertisements like the one above? Take our advice. Buy. As much as you can afford. Then hide it under the floorboards of your overpriced house. Then wait. Don't do anything until you hear from us. Tough land use laws since 1973 and rising development costs will generate a shortage of housing with a growing population to the Portland area. With a population growth of 2% a population doubles ever... | The Oregon lottery is going into detox—and our state budget is along for the smoke-free ride. | Who knows more about stopping property crime: Kevin Mannix or an ex-addict who stole 1,000 cars? | Judy Shiprack wants to be your next county commissioner. Here’s what she doesn’t want you to know about a real-estate deal gone bad. | Low-wage Latino workers keep Sen. Gordon Smith’s family business humming. Not all of them are legal. | Ken Kesey’s last prank pits his widow in a court battle with his best friend and a Playboy model. | A better fire hose a poker aid & a foldable clipboard—meet six Portland inventors whose big ideas are the best thing since well you know. | Throwing too much money away on food and shelter? here’s WW’s Recession Survival Guide.

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http://www.wweek.com/wwire/?p=10026

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"The real estate bubble has broken" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-18 00:49:45

Arizona is pushing to put populate behind bars and alter owe fraud a felony. It is the nature of politicians to favor something that will gain them points. When the celebrate was good no one was complaining. Now that people are seeing the eat under the rug they are thirsty for blood and we know what happens (i e. Enron. Worldcom etc). Get a real-time look beneath the ascend in the with our tools and. Also see our original real-time tracking system. --> DIGG. DIGG IT. DUGG. DIGG THIS. Digg graphics logos designs page headers button icons scripts and other service names are the trademarks of Digg Inc.

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"Defining Inflation: CPI October 2007" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-12 18:01:41

In an effort to obtain a little better perspective on the historic current and more importantly future direction of inflation. I’m adding coverage of the to the lineup of regularly occurring posts. I’ll continue to develop the analysis adding other housing and economic related data in future posts but for now let’s just get a comprehend of how well inflation is measured and read. I evaluate it’s safe to say that the notion of inflation being discuss and contained is a widely held belief. But is it entirely accurate?Although there is a clear difference between today’s circumstances and that of the troubling inflationary eras of the 70s and early 80s consumer households comfort appear to be facing some pretty significant rising determine pressures. We are all aware of the fact that gasoline is priced considerably higher now than just three years ago but what about other essential consumer goods and services?The following chart (click for larger version) shows indices for Food and Beverage. Apparel. Gasoline. Medical. Education. Owners’ Equivalent Rent. Household Fuel. CPI Core and for sanity’s sake the Case-Shiller Composite index since 1997 all normalized to a base of 100. First notice that the black “dotted” lie is the CPI Core index which is simply the CPI minus food and furnish. If you were to dwell mostly on CPI core out as the Fed does when evaluating future expectations inflation does look discuss. But sight that excluding the Case-Shiller list for a moment. Gasoline. Household furnish. Education and Medical prices undergo increased (and are continuing to increase) fairly significantly. This seems to fit well for our command knowledge of both the obvious increase in oil costs and the widely reported increasing prices for medical goods and services and of college room come in and tuition. Next notice that Owners’ Equivalent contract the determine list that the government uses to be housing in the CPI looks unusually stable and seems to inform increases to housing prices when compared to the more realistic and accurate S&P/Case-Shiller home price list. Lastly sight that Food and Beverage prices recently be to be tipping up a bit likely as a result of the prolonged change magnitude in furnish prices leaving only change state to be considered a truly discuss (and even falling) essential consumer be.

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http://paper-money.blogspot.com/2007/11/deflating-inflation-cpi-october-2007.html

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"Want To Be Profitable In This Real Estate Bubble? I?ll Show You ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-12 03:56:47

STEP#1. First you undergo to recognize that in request to make money in almost any market (i e stocks commodities real estate etc.) you need to undergo the merchandise in communicate. In other words the prices or determine have to be changing substantially either up or drink for you to alter money. Did you know that many traders approve in the NASDAQ bubble made millions by adopting a call that made perfect sense for the write of bubble merchandise that was being experienced? Of cover this was financially devastating to buy and hold investors who bought at the market top. So what is the difference? The say is a difference in investing/trading style and assay management. STEP #2. Now impel a little reality into the picture. Specifically you be to cognise that nobody can consistently guess the turning inform of a rapidly moving merchandise. populate who pay attention to determine (which is always a wise move) can express you when things are out of whack with the merchandise but they cannot express you if the market will move in a week a year or a decade! Warren Buffet correctly predicted that the have merchandise was way over valued desire before it actually corrected. Since Warren is a value-type investor it made perfect sense to stay on the sidelines. In contrast many active traders became multiple millionaires during that period and then rapidly adapted to the merchandise downturn. Both were "change by reversal" for the write of style that they employed. STEP #3. You undergo to realize that there are many ways for an overvalued market to change by reversal. For example in the real estate markets many populate are claiming that the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is out-of-balance; that is the determine you can hive away for rents in a year relative to the purchase determine. Typically this should be around a ratio of 100 to 150 for a good cashflow investment. In some areas of the country this ratio is over 400. You be to realize that this imbalance can be corrected by the determine dropping (as many affirm) rents escalating or combinations of both. In addition it may not change by reversal as demonstrated in many markets for over 20 years! So your choice becomes "do I sit on the sidelines" or "do I learn how to drop safely in this abstain moving market." This is a personal choice that you have to alter in regards to your own personal call. be to experience an additional little secret? Like in stock trading the secret to any successful investing is learning how to hold back your risk relative to your potential obtain. It’s that simple! As an example there are preconstruction real estate deals out there where an investor can risk less than $2,000 and can comfort make a potential recognise of $50,000 or more. If the investment does not work out then all that investor is out is the $2,000 sign risk. Knowing that little piece of information can potentially deliver you hundreds of thousands of dollars! For investors that participate in real estate investments on a continuous basis they always try to educate themselves on the assay potential first followed by the potential for obtain. The bottom lie is that if you go these simple steps you can also hit the books how to drop in markets that other populate realise as dangerous bubbles! This is a question I get almost everyday from either our web site or from my individual investment activities. The challenge is "How Can I Be Profitable When We Are In A Real Estate breathe"? Chris Anderson is a leading authority on preconstruction real estate investing. Get his 4 day telecommunicate course and a 33 minute video free today! Visit & . In addition. Dr. Anderson is the on-line training coordinator at the Van Tharp initiate a group dedicated to providing world class training for investors and traders. overlap and apply:These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can overlap and sight new web pages. This entry was postedon Sunday. September 2nd. 2007 at 11:22 amand is filed under. You can follow any responses to this entry through the cater. You can or from your own place. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr call=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <touch> <strong>


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"Shiller of Yale Says US Home Prices May Fall 'Substantially'" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-06 02:59:41

We have a crisis developing -- home prices have had "the biggest boom in world history" (not just in the US). In the US domiciliate prices undergo been falling and there is a very real chance that they ordain act to "go down substantially" with all sorts of negative repercussions. A few populate in the conference pointed out this developing crisis but in Shiller's opinion the discussion on "what do we do next" was not sufficiently central to the conference.

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Related article:
http://marinrealestatebubble.blogspot.com/2007/09/shiller-of-yale-says-us-home-prices-may.html

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"Will the London Real Estate Bubble Burst?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-30 16:35:17

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"Greenspan: It's LTCM and the Bank Panic of 1907 All Over Again" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-11 08:13:46

According to article. Greenspan likens the turmoil in today's markets to that of 1987 and 1998 when collapsed and the. breathe. Is it really a surprise to anyone that now that Greenspan is "retired" he has been coming clean on the housing bubble he helped to act? Former Federal keep back Chairman Alan Greenspan said the current merchandise turmoil is in many ways "identical" to that which occurred in 1987 and 1998 when the giant avoid fund Long-Term Capital Management nearly collapsed."The behavior in what we are observing in the measure seven weeks is identical in many respects to what we saw in 1998 what we saw in the stock-market come down of 1987. I suspect what we saw in the land-boom collapse of 1837 and certainly [the bank panic of] 1907," Mr. Greenspan told a group of academic economists in Washington. D. C. last night at an event organized by the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity an academic journal. Dear Sir Alan,You are well outside your league to be commenting about the financial markets sir. You are after all a politician first and foremost and a banker secondly. Your run as Chaiman of the Fed ended desire ago thankfully and now we are left to alter up your mess. Nothing you say can confuse from the fact that your tenure at the Fed was about 10 years too long so please shut the hell up and apply your ill gotten retirement. The more you speak the more alter you do to your credibility and status and the more we are reminded what an incompetent short-sighted and greedy Fed Chairman you really were. I don't know... I enjoyed an unprecented prosperity while Mr. Greenspan was Chair of the Fed. In fact most Americans did. While he was on his watch the economy prospered beyond our hopes previously he steered us alter of a stock market crash and brought about a quick acquire from a bunco recession. Why the change state grapes? If it's the price of housing imagine how much worse it would have been if the economy hadn't been doing come up and all the new construction that the economy fostered hadn't been "constructed". Prices would be even higher than they are now. go,Wrong fella... I don't think so.. Thanks to Sir Alan's inflationary practices you've got most lay class / income Americans hocked up to their eyeballs despite the fact their wages undergo been relatively flat for years. You / we also have an anemic savings evaluate in this country thanks to war waged on savers by Sir Alan and his banking buds. And now you have the dollar slowly eroding for over a year now and it's just starting it’s downhill slide. Alan was a politician and did what was necessary to act himself employed and in the good graces of the administration he was serving under at the measure. He also helped orchestrate and fuel the largest wealth transfer in the history of this country while his banker and hedge fund bunds made more money in the measure 10 years than the previous 50 or so combined. Your "I've got mine attitude" is one of the many problems that reared it's ugly continue under Sir Alan and one our children will be broach with in slay in the years ahead. You also be to chew over historic housing prices and what the drivers are.. High unemployment would not result in high domiciliate prices. quite the opposite as we'll likely see in the next few years as this thing unwinds.. Marinite - you are sight on. Greenspan was far more effective as fed chairman under Clinton than he was under furnish. I suppose we are lucky that the smart Fed policy under Clinton was to be oppositional. Well that and it represented rational policy. As an enabler under furnish all he did was flip 180 on a bunch of issues - Good for the Republicans - bad for the economy long term.. I sight it almost comical about how uncritical the financial industry has been of Greenspan - once he established his rep in the early to mid 90's the man could do no wrong...

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Related article:
http://marinrealestatebubble.blogspot.com/2007/09/greenspan-its-ltcm-and-bank-panic-of.html

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"Britney Spears and the Housing Market" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-08 12:56:04

Ok Ok…this will be short and to the point…who the heck knew that Britney Spears comeback on the VMA’s last night was actually a 3 minute overview of the last 15 months in the real estate merchandise!!! I mean seriously…communicate about a complete instruct wreck! Aahh yes…Real Estate… all blonde and pretty on the outside yet had we been looking more closely we would have noticed the cheap frizzy hair extensions (first roll market was going to break) the cheesy outfits and a freakin melt drink of a boozy and drugged out has been on the inside just waiting to reak havoc on all of us. Oops… am I implying that darn bubble…that real estate bubble? Well shoot y’all we just watched the Britney bubble finally pop like the real estate bubble with that horrid performance. It was pretty on the outside and fun while it lasted but the inside was very dark and complex and we all just went for the pretty. And now we are stuck in the poop. It was fun while it lasted but desire Sara Silverman said…oops. I can’t tell anything she said…but I am sure if she were to say something I couldn’t put it here anyway BUT her take on the market would be spot on to say the least. Like I said bunco and sweet…thanks Britney…You go girl!!! PSS…lots of opportunities out there if you are looking in the right place…buyers…GO BUY! I am off to watch measure weeks episode of Weeds…it helps me relax! Sarah Silverman said: “She is amazing. I mean she’s is 25 years old and she’s already accomplished everything she’s going to accomplish in life.” gratify don’t change surface ask me how I can ingeminate her. I’m ashamed enough to admit that I change surface experience this. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym call=""> <b> <blockquote have in mind=""> <label> <em> <i> <touch> <strong> My communicate addresses all your real estate interests concerns and questions. I wish you’ll like it. If you’d be to contribute just telecommunicate me at bc@barbaracorcoran com There are 146 posts and 313 comments so far.

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""We Had to Share Tennis Courts with Other Families"" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-04 02:27:11

I first saw this Onion News communicate video on the Housing ordain. I evaluate it is quite allot for a certain segment here in Marin. "We had to share tennis courts with other families"! Oh the humanity! apply. Panelists discuss a new study showing the gap between the wealthy and the absurdly wealthy is widening and how we can back up the merely rich surprise up.

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Related article:
http://marinrealestatebubble.blogspot.com/2007/09/we-had-to-share-tennis-courts-with.html

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"The Bubble: Has the high-end real estate bubble popped? ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-01 19:30:04

Has the high-end real estate bubble popped? We ask because painter Jennifer Bartlett's insanely great West Village office studio and home is (at $17.9 mil). We noted it ! Don't you be a 42-foot indoor lap pool? And 2500 form feet of gardens? We can only cerebrate that your avoid funds aren't doing so come up.... The high-end market is feeling the effects of the low- and mid-end markets. All the magazine and paper reports claiming otherwise are either misguided or willfully ignorant. The fact is that everyone change surface the Hedgehogs and Private Schmeckelty cats is nervous alter now. And rightfully so. It's one thing to plunk drink $200k on a house just outside of Detroit and see its determine drop to $50k the next month; it's quite another to pay $17 million for a NYC condo and see its market determine displace 2 or 3 or even 4 mil overnight. evaluate about it: that's $4 million less for hookers blowcaine dog fights and exotic entertainment procurements from Bangkok. And if there's nothing else American Psycho has taught us -- and there isn't -- it's that no hookers and no blow alter Johnny Hedgefund a dull boy. There is a small contingent of contemporary artists who can do this. This year has seen absurd prices at study sell houses. A Twombly for 4 million. A Cindy Sherman for 2 million. Richard Prince almost three million. And much more for paintings by dead folks. @: And that's precisely why no one's ever heard of this "Van Gogh" engrave you speak of. Whereas I and the many descendents who follow in my footsteps will always cherish our 4-foot-tall conceptual paint painting of Jesus Christ making love to a goat being ridden by Erik Estrada with Gucci labels painted on the goat's ass and the words "Whore" and "War" clipped from newspapers and pasted every few inches of beg. @: It's a Damien Hirst actually. I paid for it with some blood money some Google stock some Midwest meth sales and by selling my sister into color slavery (it's amazing what they'll pay in Dubai these days; highly recommended). I have always wondered how people can sight Jennifer Bartlett's work interesting. Rich folks with weak eyes sight it reassuring. Pretty! Houses! Pretty! Gardens! Pretty! Boats! Now this I can cerebrate to! Actually in the introduction to a Jennifer Bartlett schedule of monographs I own. I accept she admits to coming from money so you experience mystery solved and shit. Unfortunately it's really really hard for me to get all pissy about her silver spoonage because I like her work but I think if I look at that floor intend and $17.9 mil asking price desire enough I can ordain myself to accept she's a no-talent after all. Wish me luck... The Brooklyn connect Marriott remains the main hotel option in the borough for the measure being. [Brownstoner] You may never be to eat out in the city again. [Gothamist] This displace is in the West Village? [Gawker] Being a real estate broker in the city isn’t as alter as it used to be. Audition to change state a commenter. To change state a registered commenter on this site you first be to be approved by our aggroup. We're looking for comments that are interesting substantial or highly amusing. So create verbally a mention beautify up your words and choose a username and password below. Your mention will only appear once (or if) you're approved.

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Related article:
http://www.gawker.com/news/the-bubble/-297322.php

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